Polymarket Trader

DualDelta

0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.44K
Realized PnL: $74.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $46K
User PnL: -$3.25K

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $12.8K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $27.2K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $5.81K

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $8.31K
Potential payout: $31.37K
Potential profit: $23.06K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.92K

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.87K
Potential profit: $30.87K
User PnL: -$6.22K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.58K
Potential profit: $25.58K
User PnL: -$51.16

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$356.57

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $173.89
Potential payout: $19.32K
Potential profit: $19.15K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$32.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $24.51
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $16.32K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.03K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.1K
Potential profit: $16.1K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $954.54
Potential payout: $14.14K
Potential profit: $13.19K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $11.61

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $13K
User PnL: -$5.21K

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $293.7
Potential payout: $12.77K
Potential profit: $12.48K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$292.94

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-14.5)

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.84K
Potential profit: $10.84K
User PnL: -$2.42K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $445
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.56K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$55

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $320
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.68K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-16.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.95K
Potential profit: $9.95K
User PnL: -$696.67

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $33.41
Potential payout: $9.55K
Potential profit: $9.51K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$443.85

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $8.26K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $328.1

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.84K
Potential profit: $8.84K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $8.2K
User PnL: -$2.21K

Under position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$3.78K

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$2K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01K

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74K

Cavaliers position

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15K

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-20.5)

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Over position

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Over position

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Over position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92K

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 46% 1,249.82 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 68.6% 836 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 593.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 36% 1,310.25 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

No 93% 272.69 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

No 94% 20 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 36% 1,000 shares
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 4.5% 409.44 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.6% 255.15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 77% 374.02 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 7% 210 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 14% 9,060.74 shares