Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $22.32K
- Potential profit
- $22.31K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$581.52
Polymarket Trader
0x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-1771680135006
0x154506893d8ea9bcdf2a875a7a6cfe810e173599
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387.16
- Realized PnL
- -$5.11K
- Win rate
- 17.6%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.37K
- User PnL
- -$266.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.63K
- Potential profit
- $6.63K
- User PnL
- -$211.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $376
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$51.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.54
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.46
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$68.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$136.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$153.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.87
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300.7
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$328.65
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$351.98
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15.4% 2,785.19 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 20,981.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.5% 11,120.4 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 2.6% 3,569.37 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 2% 4,695.11 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 9% 4,695.11 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 2.7% 18,752.23 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 20,981.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 7% 356.71 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 5.6% 10,763.69 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 13.5% 4,624.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 15% 198.07 shares