OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $258.56
- Potential payout
- $808
- Potential profit
- $549.44
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Polymarket Trader
fillets
0x154e0f306a14cf3fb9af77cde90803fd8e58ed0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $258.56
- Realized PnL
- $2.69K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.2
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.88
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.25
Eastern Illinois Panthers position
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.2
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.43
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.24
No position
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.84
Yes position
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-09?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.9
No position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.4
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.64
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
Yes position
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.93
No position
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.54
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.78
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.3
Yes position
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $13.13
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 75.7% 112 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 75.7% 121 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 65.7% 233 shares
- Will UConn advance to the Final Four?No 67% 2,162 shares
- Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 15% 598 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No 68% 179 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No 68% 236 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No 68% 415 shares
- Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 93% 279 shares
- Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 93% 501 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No 70% 144 shares
- Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 80% 780 shares