Polymarket Trader

ms1910

0x154e1febdde45605dc2ef3f83a2e1905d1c2911f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $879.43
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.39
Potential profit: $256.39
User PnL: -$39.79

Yes position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $37.62
Potential payout: $183.49
Potential profit: $145.88
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $113.24
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $33.29
Potential payout: $130.53
Potential profit: $97.24
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $15.79

Yes position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $46.15
Potential payout: $118.34
Potential profit: $72.19
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $85.25
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $51
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Mexico be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.65
Multiplier: 4.47x
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $35.99
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $63.99
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $61.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $69.38
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $26.43
Potential payout: $74.44
Potential profit: $48.02
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$17.02

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $56.42
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $11.15
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6.42

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $38.24
Potential payout: $60.7
Potential profit: $22.46
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $55.89
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.21

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $45.38
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $31.9
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $23.1
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $40.06
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $6.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.39

No position

Will Wendl/Arlt (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Steelers position

Steelers vs. Lions

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

No position

Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.2

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.96

Bengals position

Steelers vs. Bengals

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Steelers position

Ravens vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Vikings position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.33

Falcons position

Rams vs. Falcons

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Yes position

Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.05

No position

Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.59

Bills position

Bills vs. Jaguars

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.95

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.17

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.83

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.14

Falcons position

Bills vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Cowboys position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 0.5

Over 74% 27.03 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 75% 10 shares
Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 42 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 76% 26.32 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 77% 12.99 shares
Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 40 shares
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Yes 17% 60 shares
Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.5% 16.39 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 0.5

Over 81.6% 61.26 shares
Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 100 shares