Polymarket Trader

CharliefromSmilingFriends

0x154f06e52c631a0546a24e4a50855c40a92b9a12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $384.14
Realized PnL: $1.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$128.17

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $37.54
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $787.46
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$14.46

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.78
Potential profit: $617.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Current value: $128.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $471.9
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $30.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.96
Potential profit: $309.96
User PnL: -$24.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.44
Potential profit: $302.44
User PnL: -$11.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.48
Potential profit: $265.48
User PnL: -$74.79

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$107.5

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $178.4
Potential payout: $249.51
Potential profit: $71.11
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$2.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$13.64

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$72

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $196
User PnL: -$99.96

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.83
Potential profit: $184.83
User PnL: -$104.29

No position

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $180.66
Potential profit: $159.89
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$29.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.39
Potential profit: $167.39
User PnL: -$23.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$67.5

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.97
Potential profit: $129.97
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $19.33
Potential payout: $110.43
Potential profit: $91.1
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$12.7

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$59

No position

Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.85

Yes position

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.59

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.2

Yes position

Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Bears

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.19

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.83

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.24

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.44

49ers position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.04

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.77

No position

Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 2.3% 100 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 8% 409.24 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 196 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 625 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 288.12 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 6% 5.4 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 5.9% 130 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 16.5% 65.48 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Over 40% 100 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 65% 76.92 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 55% 90.91 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 48% 100 shares