Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $25.7
- Potential payout
- $131.79
- Potential profit
- $106.09
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $5.03
Polymarket Trader
CosmosBot
0x1557721120da9558f69f7ee919db3278576d0129
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.23
- Realized PnL
- -$5.09
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $38.86
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.71
- Potential profit
- $29.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $20.33
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $19.9
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $12.69
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $1.11
N
No position
Spain to win the second half?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 39.4% 12.69 shares
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No 16.8% 29.71 shares
- Spain to win the second half?No 42% 9.52 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23% 20.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 73% 14.08 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 15% 104.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 41% 41.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 59% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 75% 13.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 74.4% 13.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp 24% 1.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp 57% 1.75 shares