Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $12.11
- Potential profit
- $11.83
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Polymarket Trader
abnormalperson
0x155dd4dffa0ce75a8e20abb2891a8cb3572d3a4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.36
- Realized PnL
- $3.77
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 6% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp 15% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp 8% 12.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 75% 1.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 1% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown 13% 7.14 shares
- Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No 99.1% 2.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown 97% 1.03 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.8% 6.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 67% 1.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 59% 1.69 shares