Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $91.35
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $808.65
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.35
Polymarket Trader
0x156bF597C459111570b3Fe413a0e9ABeF081BAa0-1759954770776
0x156bf597c459111570b3fe413a0e9abef081baa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $768.65
- Realized PnL
- $20.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $175.95
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $724.05
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $83.55
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $63.36
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $836.64
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $54.45
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $845.54
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Current value
- $248.85
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $651.14
- Multiplier
- 3.62x
- User PnL
- $88.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $101.25
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $798.74
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$39.95
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $899.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.63
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496.75
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496.75
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $496.74
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $496.74
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $496.73
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $496.73
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.96
- Potential profit
- $496.71
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.93
- Potential profit
- $496.68
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.89
- Potential profit
- $496.64
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Arnold Allen position
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Carlos Prates position
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805
Van position
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.99
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.98
Taira position
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.97
Kape position
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Deiveson Figueiredo position
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $591.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 41% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 32.5% 150 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp 66% 83 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 303.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 7% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 33% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown 59% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?No 31% 68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 26?No 83% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 26?No 81% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?No 33% 25.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?Yes 38% 6.99 shares