Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $230.35
- Potential payout
- $284.38
- Potential profit
- $54.03
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $46.35
Polymarket Trader
wakeupsawly
0x157711eda7e92649d62fa79852e77ff95b834b52
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $230.35
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.65
- Potential profit
- $188.65
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.7% 1,063.94 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 34% 128.58 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 31.1% 128.59 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 64.7% 284.38 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 71% 130.43 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 36.2% 372.46 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 26.8% 372.47 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 130.43 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.2% 625 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 15% 163 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 18.2% 7.4 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 10.3% 50 shares