Polymarket Trader

Frajbot

0x158541d9c94d2456e878b9af2c50607857c47379

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.45
Realized PnL: -$0.02
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $247.36
Potential profit: $242.16
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $99.05
Potential profit: $98.26
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $46.74
Potential profit: $45.01
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.59
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $27.87
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $19.03
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $19.8
Potential profit: $17.34
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $3.94
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.18

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 4.3% 46.74 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2% 100 shares
Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 247.36 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 94% 2.13 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 55% 3.64 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Yes 2% 99.05 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 2% 100 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26.7% 7.48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 6.12 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 94.6% 10.41 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 35.71 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 29.85 shares