Polymarket Trader

tatami-8s

0x158a12f1bf4d315001da1efbdf08977d9bca03fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$986.06

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$111.08

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $176.43
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$23.57

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $95.83
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $737.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $145.29
Potential payout: $724.64
Potential profit: $579.35
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $45.29

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $84.21
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $442.11
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $181.53
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $344.79
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$18.47

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $256.57
Potential payout: $518.32
Potential profit: $261.75
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $56.57

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $417.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $234.62
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.11
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $154.46
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$25.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.8

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.9%
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.29

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$11.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.22

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.18

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$27.86

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.05

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.65

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 728.18 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.1% 775.19 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 50.2% 995.02 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57.6% 694.68 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52% 961.54 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 38% 526.32 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Yes 38.6% 518.32 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 26% 384.62 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 20% 500 shares