Polymarket Trader

0x1597C6f2765E59308893CFA11E2861bEB211d74f-1768075541609

0x1597c6f2765e59308893cfa11e2861beb211d74f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.24K
Realized PnL: -$49.78
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $826.12
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $153.72

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $189.02
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $861.07
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$30.98

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $201.81
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $825.22
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$580

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$360

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.56

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.11

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.89

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.6

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.39

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.11

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.62

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.7

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$73.57

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$853.8

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.69K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 75.2% 265.96 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 73.2% 3,413.88 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 1,027.03 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 21.3% 468.82 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.6% 581.27 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 1,960.52 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 6% 1,166.67 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 8.9% 1,639.34 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 76% 960.53 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 56% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares