Polymarket Trader

neovic

0x15a441c5fe88edaf685fb6e7f479c46fbbdb8bae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $159.2
Realized PnL: $301.61
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.62
Potential profit: $559.62
User PnL: -$251.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$119.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $159.2
Potential payout: $173.99
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $16.53

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$78.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 82% 173.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 78% 340 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 78.9% 280 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Yes 60% 440.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

No 94.6% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Yes 87% 98.7 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

No 92.4% 60 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 18?

Yes 97.6% 79.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Yes 35% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

No 93% 20 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?

Yes 97.4% 151 shares