Polymarket Trader

Calvino87

0x15a8be9a276ab48d3ecbdc8b96143453f9e26745

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.65
Realized PnL: $139.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.73
Potential profit: $125.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $37.29
Potential profit: $33.84
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $29.35
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $28.25
Potential profit: $23.52
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.1%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $14.41
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83
Potential profit: $1.83
User PnL: -$0.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.38

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

No position

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?

Ends Aug 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4000 September 8–14?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4,100 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

No 2.7% 37.29 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 11% 9.09 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 13% 7.69 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 20% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 27% 3.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 28.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.7% 14.41 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 99.9% 109.97 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 109.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 4% 125.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Down 83% 6.17 shares