Polymarket Trader

Scramblecoin

0x15ae545ffbefbcbefbdc22e5cd8d2363f1839b0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.44
Realized PnL: $3.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $995.49
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.37
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.1
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.78
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $114.71
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

NATO dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.85
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Italy come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $95.49
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $98.04
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'King of Kings' make between $18-21m on its domestic opening weekend?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $558

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.74

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

No position

Will the next James Bond be British?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Nets position

Rockets vs. Nets

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.6

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.46

Yes position

Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?

Ends Mar 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will 'Black Bag' gross more than 7m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.25

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.99

Nets position

Heat vs. Nets

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Trail Blazers position

Pacers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Hawks position

Bucks vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Rangers

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 31% 5 shares
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 0.1% 25 shares
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 15% 10 shares
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Yes 11.8% 89 shares
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

Yes 7% 70 shares
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 81.5% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 75% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 13% 9.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Up 0.1% 1,000 shares