Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
Capricia
0x15b0360e2720e723f5740ee95cadedfb2cfdd472
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.43
- Realized PnL
- $91.05
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.61
- Potential profit
- $23.61
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $18.43
- Potential payout
- $19.75
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 19.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.1% 69.28 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 86.6% 69.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 51.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp 51% 98.04 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown 51.7% 38.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown 50% 70 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 51.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp 51.6% 77.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes 66.1% 134.21 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes 76% 134.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 63% 160.6 shares