Polymarket Trader

0x15C3bfeef3e548ae9a53971d47b470862bA76f66-1760388703472

0x15c3bfeef3e548ae9a53971d47b470862ba76f66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $258.19
Realized PnL: $4.14
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $225.87
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $77.06

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $12.84
Potential payout: $302
Potential profit: $289.17
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$56.68

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $155.6
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $148.88
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $13.96
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 72.4% 18 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

No 26% 212 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.1% 43.08 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4.6% 150 shares
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes 19.9% 160 shares
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in February 2026?

Yes 0.2% 120 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.9% 160 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.3% 224.89 shares
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 1.8% 100 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.4% 300 shares
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in February 2026?

Yes 0.9% 120 shares
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes 19% 100 shares