Y
Yes position
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x15D0c09EC94B1FA433332D547788654C38943327-1779859216100
0x15d0c09ec94b1fa433332d547788654c38943327
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.69
- Realized PnL
- $9.58
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Japan position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.5
- Potential profit
- $74.5
- User PnL
- -$22.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.1
- Potential profit
- $74.1
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$12
Australia position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $27.04
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Cabo Verde position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.45
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.19
Yes position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.66
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$122.38
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 51% 11 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 44% 11 shares
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?Yes 99.9% 12.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?Yes 34% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 4?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes 54% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?Yes 79% 12.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?Yes 89.7% 60.51 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?Yes 99.9% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?Yes 0.1% 283.52 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?Yes 41% 25 shares