Polymarket Trader

0x15e5...9749

0x15e513f95fea8775f80adf4fc847d9e2c6919749

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.93
Realized PnL: $1.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.74K
Potential profit: $6.74K
User PnL: -$371.41

No position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.56K
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $866.38
Potential profit: $866.38
User PnL: -$85.82

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $852.64
Potential profit: $852.64
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.62
Potential profit: $747.62
User PnL: -$32.64

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$1.25

Bukauskas position

UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.84
Potential profit: $586.84
User PnL: -$33.92

No position

Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488.7
Potential profit: $488.7
User PnL: -$36.25

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.92
Potential profit: $456.92
User PnL: -$17.82

No position

Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.92
Potential profit: $361.92
User PnL: -$198.52

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.33
Potential profit: $343.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.17
Potential profit: $334.17
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.53
Potential profit: $166.53
User PnL: -$9.99

Fnatic position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $157.14
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $144.08
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.42
Potential profit: $148.42
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with <2 dissents?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$69

No position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.98
Potential profit: $137.98
User PnL: -$23.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.98

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.94

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.05

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.56

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.73

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.86

No position

Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.05

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.78

Yes position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.39

Yes position

Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Yes position

Will Apple announce all six next-generation operating systems during the WWDC 2026 keynote?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.61

Moeller position

Australian Open Men's: Elmer Moeller vs Marc Polmans

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

No position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 83% 6.02 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

No 20% 5 shares
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

Yes 99.9% 16.13 shares
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco

Paris Basketball 16% 3.7 shares
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco

Paris Basketball 27% 3.7 shares
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

Yes 95% 10.74 shares
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 63% 8.4 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 50% 14 shares
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

Yes 59% 25.42 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 61% 24.59 shares