Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Polymarket Trader
arsenal85
0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.1
- Realized PnL
- $168.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.97
- Potential profit
- $55.97
- User PnL
- -$16.92
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.68
- Potential profit
- $54.68
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.83
- Potential profit
- $21.83
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52
- Potential profit
- $20.52
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.57
- Potential profit
- $16.57
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.04
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.26
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.91
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.5
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.42
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.8
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $12.53
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.74
- Potential profit
- $11.74
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $16.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 99.4% 33.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 54% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 53% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 33% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?Yes 35% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?Yes 44% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 59% 9.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?Yes 32% 10 shares