PolyArbi

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $243.09
Potential profit: $241.88
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $194.46
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $45.45
Potential payout: $198.91
Potential profit: $153.46
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $47.48
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $147.52
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.83
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $188.18
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $95.55
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $182.06
Potential profit: $181.78
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$27.1

Yes position

Will Qatar be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $180.44
Potential profit: $180.17
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $142.28
Potential payout: $180.1
Potential profit: $37.82
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $91.18

Yes position

Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $147.6
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $33.36
Potential payout: $128.3
Potential profit: $94.94
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $93.35
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $33.66
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $119.11
Potential profit: $118.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Norway finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $92
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $23.58
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $91.43
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Senegal finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$31.05

Yes position

Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $101.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $79.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $30.25
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Branko Blanuša be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $105.33
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $2.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $688.69

Yes position

Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.63

Yes position

Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.9

Yes position

Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.19

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.25

Yes position

Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.12

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $63.8

Yes position

Will Alfonso Scoppa win the 2026 Angri mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.48

Yes position

Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.48

Yes position

Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.71

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.52

Yes position

Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.87

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.79

Yes position

Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.16

Yes position

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.92

Yes position

Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

Yes position

Will Giovanni Legnini win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.56

Yes position

Will Filippo Boscagli win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.37

Yes position

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?