Polymarket Trader

PolBandit

0x15fdd6a159788bd7d382f5669a047ad0fcb2cc95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.55K
Realized PnL: $67.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.32K
Potential profit: $34.32K
User PnL: -$32.97K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $28.28K
Potential payout: $28.37K
Potential profit: $99.31
User PnL: $5.29K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $20.15K
Potential payout: $20.31K
Potential profit: $152.29
User PnL: $4.09K

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $453.05
Potential payout: $20.14K
Potential profit: $19.68K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$238.02

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.35K
Potential profit: $16.35K
User PnL: -$15.56K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.86K
Potential profit: $15.86K
User PnL: -$12.97K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $12.37K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $466.35

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $14.71K
Potential payout: $14.82K
Potential profit: $111.17
User PnL: $526.41

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.71
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $13.42K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.27K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $233.88
Potential payout: $9.95K
Potential profit: $9.72K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.2%
Current value: $3.72K
Potential payout: $9.76K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: -$1.55K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42K
Potential profit: $7.42K
User PnL: -$5.86K

No position

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $7.34K
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $29.47
User PnL: $710.22

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
User PnL: -$835.94

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$495.13

Yes position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$106.69

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.3
Potential profit: $595.3
User PnL: -$571.49

No position

Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $391.85
Potential payout: $393.82
Potential profit: $1.97
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $128.7
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $36.3
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$6.6

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.9%
Current value: $36.44
Potential payout: $58.91
Potential profit: $22.47
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $5.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31K

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97K

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.23

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.02

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $833.24

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.88

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $569.25

No position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.26

No position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.72

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.02

No position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $414.41

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.66

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 91.6% 4,356.29 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

No 94.1% 3,986.36 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99% 10,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79.4% 14,998.96 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 98.9% 10,014.29 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 9,952.16 shares
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

No 99.7% 208.08 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 83% 8,020.99 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

No 99% 11,099.2 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 82.6% 5,407.64 shares
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 99.8% 9,100.99 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 94.5% 319.35 shares