Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $181.1
- Potential profit
- $179.56
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Polymarket Trader
EL2
0x1600824841287d1a06b96fc888c3afd240f89236
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.2
- Realized PnL
- $4.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $119
- Potential profit
- $117.99
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $29.52
- Potential profit
- $24.65
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $17.35
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 17?Yes 16.9% 29.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?Yes 49% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?Yes 48% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?Yes 42% 59.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?Yes 41% 94.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?Yes 56% 42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?Yes 37% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?Yes 37% 76.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?Yes 51% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?Yes 45% 50.86 shares