Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $7.41K
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Polymarket Trader
takemymoney
0x1602856ef17c9b838b2f2b941b9c628cd5eecbf7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.11K
- Realized PnL
- $8.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.8%
- Current value
- $7.41K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $148.99
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $283.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $82.87
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $564.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $435.1
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$35.1
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $884.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $939.95
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.04
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $511.29
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.18
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $457
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.34
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.88
Yes position
Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.56
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.12
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.59
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $318.27
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.6
Yes position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.6
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.84
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.27
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.68
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.31
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $261.46
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.94
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.9% 8,848.01 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 110 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 1,203.23 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 131.06 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 29% 39.28 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 6,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 3,480 shares