Polymarket Trader

hollyber

0x1604b15af9eab550175b268dd574a155c5ebff0e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $228.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $70K
User PnL: -$2.49K

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$39K

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32K
Potential profit: $40.32K
User PnL: -$104.9

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$539.04

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 21?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 20?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 23?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 19?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 22?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 14?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $22K
User PnL: -$6.77K

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.59K
Potential profit: $21.59K
User PnL: -$2.7K

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.42K
Potential profit: $19.42K
User PnL: -$8.5K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.67K
Potential profit: $15.67K
User PnL: -$3.31K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.62K
Potential profit: $14.62K
User PnL: -$718.95

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.72K
Potential profit: $13.72K
User PnL: -$2.99K

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.31K
Potential profit: $11.31K
User PnL: -$2.97K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.41K

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36K

Yes position

Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.36K

Cháirez position

UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32K

Caio Borralho position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74K

Yes position

Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84K

No position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33K

Virna Jandiroba position

UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89K

Oleksiejczuk position

UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81K

Spivac position

UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71K

Alice Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46K

Marwan Rahiki position

UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

Basharat position

UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

Jose Delano position

UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Josh Hokit position

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Yes 1% 271 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 40% 33.01 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 10.2% 399.99 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 29% 194.01 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 70.1% 94 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 85% 139.61 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 84% 209.99 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 62% 1,000 shares
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Yes 88.1% 1,000 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.8% 2,000.12 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 99.4% 2,299.78 shares