Polymarket Trader

0x160e...617d

0x160e70a22bf54b49c4f435f29629d688970c617d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $238.85
Realized PnL: $49.63
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $72.64
Potential profit: $65.01
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $52.18
Potential profit: $45.14
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$12.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.76
Potential payout: $40.78
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $20.76

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.09
Potential payout: $39.18
Potential profit: $15.08
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $33.83
Potential profit: $10.82
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $28.52
Potential profit: $20.68
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$3.54

No position

Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.6
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.35
Potential payout: $23.8
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.07

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $21.3
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $21.84
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $21.29
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.35

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $11.2
Potential payout: $18.36
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $9.54
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $9.89
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $7.13
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $6.83
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $2.26
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.98

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 38% 0.34 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 38% 0.44 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 38% 0.02 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 38% 0.03 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 69.7% 16.95 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 17.8 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 71% 1.41 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 58% 7.41 shares