No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $897.42
- Potential payout
- $926.61
- Potential profit
- $29.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$8.02
Polymarket Trader
display300
@display20035858
0x16178c379c5bbfba2f52869050457d07434655ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $387.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $236.18
- Potential payout
- $280.5
- Potential profit
- $44.32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$35.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Blues position
Canadiens vs. Blues
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Ripple above $3.15 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.4
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.1% 704 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?No 99.6% 691 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on June 11?No 99.5% 101 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?No 99.8% 101 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 11?No 99.7% 95.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 11?No 99.6% 79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 11?No 99.8% 80 shares
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.2% 83.33 shares
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 97.7% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 10?No 99.7% 56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 10?No 99.5% 39.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 10?No 99.4% 60 shares