Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.09K
- Potential profit
- $31.09K
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
Polymarket Trader
okw
0x1619f1fb31df63b2652f2f24434b9956f04705fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- $2.81K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$167.97
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $72.99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$52.83
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $28.83
- Potential payout
- $367.22
- Potential profit
- $338.39
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.45
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.01
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$47.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 165.12 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 4.7% 1,511 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 337.21 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 2,000 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 504.55 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.7% 2,971.07 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 225.04 shares
- Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.2% 3,333.33 shares
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.4% 3,337.36 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 1,861.7 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 495.09 shares