Polymarket Trader

tamag

0x16226969fcaf48262a39f52fecc9990d3c6ba3fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.22
Realized PnL: $3.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $89.82
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$10.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $89.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $79.92
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $72.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.87
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.58
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.28
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.36
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.52
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.84
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $11.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.79
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 6.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?

Yes 1.6% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?

Yes 0.1% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 6.1% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 11.6% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 6.3% 34 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?

Yes 0.8% 80 shares
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 20.53 shares
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 89% 10 shares
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 30 shares
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 1% 9.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

No 65% 4.62 shares