No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $7.89
Polymarket Trader
Simmelariii
0x163385daa5186066fd15b06b4ebc8b74480b190c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.32K
- Realized PnL
- $42.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$347
G2 Ares position
Counter-Strike: LFO vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $871.13
- Potential payout
- $871.57
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $704.65
- Potential payout
- $705
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $0.35
G2 Ares position
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs LFO (+1.5)
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $557
- Potential profit
- $557
- User PnL
- -$551.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $357.84
- Potential payout
- $358.02
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $232.12
- Potential payout
- $232.24
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $154.33
- Potential payout
- $154.41
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.04
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.62
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.11
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.23
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.92
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.79
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.99
No position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.07
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.5
Yes position
2025 September second hottest on record?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?No 99.9% 705 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?No 99.9% 232.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?No 99.9% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?No 99.9% 135.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 19?No 99.9% 22.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?No 99.9% 261.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 19?No 99.9% 842.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?No 99.9% 2.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?No 99.9% 516.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?No 99.8% 2,003.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?No 99.9% 2,391.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?No 99.7% 97.28 shares