No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $137.34
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $85.02
Polymarket Trader
AnthonyNelson1362
0x16392afb3e6e94775507efa6997f3e37fc84e706
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lucinda M. Margolis - Jeopardy! win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611
- Potential profit
- $611
- User PnL
- -$79.43
EC Juventude position
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $300.5
- Potential payout
- $601
- Potential profit
- $300.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $566
- Potential profit
- $566
- User PnL
- -$288.66
No position
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $515
- Potential payout
- $515
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $61.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $435
- User PnL
- -$217.5
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $224
- User PnL
- -$163.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $167
- User PnL
- -$26.72
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $30.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.2
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.78
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.86
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.34
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $93.94
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.2
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.99
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.73
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $36.06
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "SAVE America Act" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.15
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $23.84
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $16.83
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Yes position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No 88% 515 shares
- Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)EC Juventude 50% 601 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?No 83% 1,308 shares
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No 33% 554 shares
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No 32% 172 shares
- Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?No 51% 726 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 33% 23 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 31% 419 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 29% 334 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 29% 329 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 84% 1,105 shares
- Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?No 68% 250 shares