Polymarket Trader

servandosibon

0x164c2db23d2b8c8e5ddb50dd3f7ec4e13189ff8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $249.53
Realized PnL: $249.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$109.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$93.29

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $69.72
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$66.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$67.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$67.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $54.87
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$56.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$57.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$57

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$57

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $59.97
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$55.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$51.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$32.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$37.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$29.75

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$27.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$24.3

Hubert Hurkacz position

Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$23.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?

No 96.3% 35 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?

Yes 93.7% 60 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 5AM ET

Down 95% 35 shares
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 11?

No 97.5% 39.99 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 11?

No 97.2% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 10?

No 97.5% 50 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 10?

No 88% 35 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?

No 96.4% 40 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?

Yes 84% 15 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?

No 98.8% 70 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 2?

Yes 99.4% 90 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?

Up 87% 35 shares