Polymarket Trader

GeniusTrader

0x164cb85e1718d0a8f95d588b08fbb52b34233e39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.55
Realized PnL: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $960.5
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.66
Potential profit: $450.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $432.8
Potential profit: $432.8
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.99
Potential profit: $402.99
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.5
Potential profit: $302.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.54
Potential profit: $282.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$13.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.58
Potential profit: $198.58
User PnL: -$46.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$34.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.98
Potential profit: $139.98
User PnL: -$13.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$45.59

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$51.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.58
Potential profit: $45.58
User PnL: -$23.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.95
Potential profit: $44.95
User PnL: -$20.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.56
Potential profit: $42.56
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.78

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.31

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173

No position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.38

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.81

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 91% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

No 48% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 38% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 3% 24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

No 47% 24.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

No 47% 9.99 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

No 82% 10 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5

Under 90% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

No 41% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 78% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Yes 86.5% 79.99 shares