Polymarket Trader

blub.0

0x164e6f501a2c25ea331e8b1732b6ea3622ba785b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.08K
Realized PnL: $496.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $42.6K
Potential profit: $41.13K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.6K
Potential profit: $33.6K
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$81.7

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $729.38
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.99
Potential profit: $194.99
User PnL: -$85.25

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$50.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$13.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.13

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.3

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.71

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 3,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 17,600 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 5,000 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

No 99.9% 61.06 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

No 99.9% 400 shares
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 5,100 shares
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

No 99.9% 4,599.52 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 500 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 4,399.98 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 99.9% 1,300 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.9% 3,690 shares