Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
0x164Fe289894ecC7E19380Fc6f4b4fcee6EF6337C-1772531361733
0x164fe289894ecc7e19380fc6f4b4fcee6ef6337c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.85
- Realized PnL
- $0.13
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 76% 2.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.3% 5.32 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.52 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 43.1% 2.32 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 3.75 shares