Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.77K
- Potential profit
- $31.77K
- User PnL
- -$202.58
Polymarket Trader
PolyOG
0x1655eac53ec852b6c3785d15feea40035f71a669
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.32K
- Realized PnL
- $52.81K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $16.32K
- Potential payout
- $24.91K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $124.57
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.07K
- Potential profit
- $24.07K
- User PnL
- -$670.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.12
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.02
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.42
Yes position
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.5
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.07
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.22
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.34
No position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.73
Yes position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 65% 9,528.9 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 65% 15,385 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 12,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,368.21 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 1.5% 23,313 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 8% 0.53 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 8% 342 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 72% 3,827.1 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.7% 7,108.24 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 98% 196 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.7% 37,278.52 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 5.5% 1,871 shares