Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Polymarket Trader
0x165C8E4a03dBEc34DCA1752Baf97B80a629ed943-1772099673910
0x165c8e4a03dbec34dca1752baf97b80a629ed943
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $469.14
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$12.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Egypt position
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$80
Under position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $212.2
- Potential payout
- $487.8
- Potential profit
- $275.61
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $12.2
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $256.94
- Potential payout
- $462.96
- Potential profit
- $206.02
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.44
- Potential profit
- $269.44
- User PnL
- -$91.81
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.42
- Potential profit
- $242.42
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $229.99
- User PnL
- -$0.46
New Zealand position
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.99
- Potential profit
- $70.99
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Eastern Illinois win the 2026 OVC conference championship?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$27.83
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.99
- Potential profit
- $53.99
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.98
- Potential profit
- $53.98
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Joseph Severino win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Max Solomon win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.77
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.72
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.97
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.73
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.39
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.69
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.12
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under 41% 487.8 shares
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 54% 462.96 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)New Zealand 57% 105.26 shares
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Egypt 16% 500 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 18% 333.33 shares
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain 33% 242.42 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes 25% 785.4 shares
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 34.1% 269.44 shares
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 38% 5 shares
- XRP Up or Down - March 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 0.9% 999.96 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown 22% 39.41 shares