Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$493.2
Polymarket Trader
0x165d3D11dA8b2d020f77511209E0a6c75fD421eA-1774205031353
0x165d3d11da8b2d020f77511209e0a6c75fd421ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.09
- Realized PnL
- $43.01
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $16.34
- Potential payout
- $418.96
- Potential profit
- $402.62
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $100.68
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $36.3
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $20.32
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $44.19
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $17.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $19.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $14.15
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.38
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.49
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$52.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$248.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes 56% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 31% 64.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 42% 47.62 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 7.7% 418.96 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 5.3% 657.8 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over 79.1% 11.38 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 91% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 92% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 47% 29.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 16% 821.27 shares