Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $131.35
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Polymarket Trader
sippinflamingo
0x1663950633cb809550842cd91b3c90be0ea492d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.65
- Realized PnL
- $24.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 142 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 22 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 22 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 16% 148 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 16% 158 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 14% 78 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 16% 172 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.2% 34 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.4% 45 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.9% 43 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.5% 43 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 60 shares