Polymarket Trader

cmcao

0x1668b2070f3f17626f03a988af36699ba5ba5b24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.25
Realized PnL: $442.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $19.79
Potential payout: $119.95
Potential profit: $100.16
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$40.18

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $100.16
Potential payout: $119.95
Potential profit: $19.79
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $40.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.49
Potential profit: $4.49
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $100 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.95

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.86

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.85

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Trump x Putin talk by July 31?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 8 shares
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 19% 8 shares
Netanyahu out by July 31?

No 98.8% 2.02 shares
Netanyahu out by July 31?

No 97.3% 4.16 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 4.4 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 65% 4.62 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 62% 4.84 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 4.49 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

No 99.3% 20.14 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 15.26 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 7 shares