No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.41
- Potential payout
- $31.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.41
Polymarket Trader
benqa
0x166d0cef2553fdcc816cf08d0ead00e4eea6bbe2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.3
- Realized PnL
- $46.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.25
- Potential payout
- $19.29
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.98
- Potential payout
- $13.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $11.39
- Potential payout
- $11.46
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $9.14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Utah position
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Syracuse Crunch position
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Bridgeport Islanders
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Any questions" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump say "Submarine" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Grand Rapids Griffins position
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Iowa Wild
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Basavareddy position
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bryce Mitchell be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?No 93% 13.98 shares
- Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No 98.5% 9.14 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by June 30?No 98.5% 19.29 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 99.2% 6.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 1?No 98.8% 16.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 1?No 97.5% 10.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 1?No 82% 3.66 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 30?No 99.5% 11.06 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 98.7% 31.41 shares
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 83.04 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 97.4% 11.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 13?No 97.8% 10.22 shares