Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $217.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Polymarket Trader
0x1674b8C2c92C24D14e1c6a4b3475AfB4e8291422-1779880258293
0x1674b8c2c92c24d14e1c6a4b3475afb4e8291422
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.94
- Realized PnL
- -$99.72
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $56.29
- Potential profit
- $47.84
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$29.27
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$167.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 300 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 18% 360.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 32% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 35% 8.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 43% 9.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown 23% 21.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown 23% 21.74 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 27.8% 360.1 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes 17.9% 674.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 44% 382.14 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes 22.2% 674.45 shares