Polymarket Trader

treadmill4727

0x1676160a7c9d3bd7453db60d6c1eb2de893042b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $116.38
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7.74
Potential payout: $430.01
Potential profit: $422.27
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $59.93
Potential payout: $210.35
Potential profit: $150.42
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $47.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

No 92.9% 50 shares
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 29.5% 45.12 shares
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 2% 410.01 shares
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 27.6% 151.23 shares
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 26% 14 shares

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