Polymarket Trader

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0x168205abe04b2bbc665fada09297e284edec26ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.02K
Realized PnL: $29.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.02K
Potential profit: $43.02K
User PnL: -$2.46K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.2K
Potential profit: $40.2K
User PnL: -$603.69

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $737.85
Potential payout: $34.48K
Potential profit: $33.74K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$219.87

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.89K
Potential profit: $28.89K
User PnL: -$360.24

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $387.3
Potential payout: $20.94K
Potential profit: $20.55K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.94K

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.86K
Potential profit: $15.86K
User PnL: -$380.98

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.25K
Potential profit: $15.25K
User PnL: -$15.25

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.89K
Potential profit: $14.89K
User PnL: -$954.85

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.95K
Potential profit: $13.95K
User PnL: -$13.95

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.52K
Potential profit: $10.52K
User PnL: -$212.58

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $544.23
Potential payout: $7.89K
Potential profit: $7.34K
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$911.81

Yes position

Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $7.8K
Potential profit: $7.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$123.01

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.43K
Potential profit: $7.43K
User PnL: -$198.88

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $6.79K
User PnL: -$115.7

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$19.7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $6.1K
User PnL: -$229.85

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $5.93K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$253.93

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$62.16

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$1.85K

No position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $4.06K
User PnL: -$119.61

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $820.28

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.37

No position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.44

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $330

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $289.59

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $251.15

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $244.64

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.63

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.19

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.41

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.14

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.57

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $201.16

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 38.8% 1,250.88 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 46.9% 1,105.16 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 43% 1,189.61 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 56.8% 553.08 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 14.8% 379.29 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 56.5% 2,618.82 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 49.2% 1,047.94 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 68.5% 1,219 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 68% 399.99 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 67% 300 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 44.9% 113 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 42.5% 501.53 shares