Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$6.87
Polymarket Trader
Ave77
0x1685b932b3566a81fe7ca675609be0a17d8118ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.15
- Realized PnL
- $33.97
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $306.65
- Potential profit
- $305.27
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $21.39
- Potential payout
- $265.67
- Potential profit
- $244.28
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.5
- Potential profit
- $262.5
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $37.16
- Potential payout
- $168.91
- Potential profit
- $131.75
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $17.16
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $13.57
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $129.29
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $135.35
- Potential profit
- $129.8
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $109.77
- Potential profit
- $104.06
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $85.49
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.81
- Potential profit
- $87.81
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $31.66
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Kansas City Royals position
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.69
Over position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Over position
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Over position
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Under position
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Over position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Los Angeles Angels position
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Over position
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
San Diego Padres position
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Seattle Mariners position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Under position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Philadelphia Phillies position
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.4% 173.08 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 311.67 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 92.59 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 1.1% 87.81 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 0.8% 125 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 0.9% 111.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 1% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No 0.4% 250 shares