No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $521.95
- Potential payout
- $730
- Potential profit
- $208.05
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$36.55
Polymarket Trader
pdlh
0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.17K
- Realized PnL
- $3.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $391.6
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $48.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $297.02
- Potential payout
- $331.87
- Potential profit
- $34.85
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $307.52
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $178.65
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $68.33
- Potential payout
- $148.54
- Potential profit
- $80.21
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$13.25
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $104.3
- Potential payout
- $107.58
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$57.59
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$24.8
Yes position
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.01
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.1
No position
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.42
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.88
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.17
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.06
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.37
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.61
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.21
Yes position
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.27
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.94
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.08
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiลก be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.92
Yes position
US tariffs on European cars before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.4
No position
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.28
No position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.34
No position
Megaquake by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.8
No position
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.53
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.76
No position
US-EU trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.88
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.38
No position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 74% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 74% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 75% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 75% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 75% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 170 shares
- Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 55% 9.54 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 91% 570 shares
- Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 58% 30 shares
- Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 58% 60 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 77% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 77% 210 shares