Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $219.28
- Potential profit
- $210.4
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Polymarket Trader
0x16b6...17a8
0x16b670fed249e55e7c6c49d37bebbd8922e217a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.64
- Realized PnL
- $13.39
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Y
Yes position
Will episode not air?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $106.24
- Potential profit
- $104.97
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.72
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Experiment" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.7%
- Current value
- $27.13
- Potential payout
- $58.1
- Potential profit
- $30.97
- Multiplier
- 2.14x
- User PnL
- $26.13
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.8%
- Current value
- $26.86
- Potential payout
- $56.19
- Potential profit
- $29.33
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- $25.86
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $54.42
- Potential profit
- $53.71
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
N
No position
Will anyone say "Bounty" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $53.16
- Potential profit
- $52.6
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $51.66
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $43.8
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $37.19
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $16.38
- Potential payout
- $34.05
- Potential profit
- $17.67
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $29.21
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.09
N
No position
Will anyone say "Hell" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $28.13
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.6%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $17.66
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
N
No position
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Y
Yes position
France to score first vs. Paraguay?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Breaking News" in July?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Cosmos" in July?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in July?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Movie Star" in July?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?Yes 1.8% 54.42 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?Yes 90% 1.11 shares