No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $49.35
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $20.65
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $14.35
Polymarket Trader
0x16c1...7822
0x16c1f1a87a69ee1eecd750a83b99af44d04e7822
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $76.6
- Realized PnL
- -$22.6
- Win rate
- 29.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $12.33
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 12 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.1% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7% 16 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 77.5% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 11.9% 16 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 87% 6 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 16 shares