Polymarket Trader

vxcyveqwe

0x16c478a8a1d8cb860b74b767ac715bd33e0c8487

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $206.44
Realized PnL: $884.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.94
Potential profit: $352.94
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.99
Potential profit: $238.99
User PnL: -$38

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.05
Potential profit: $219.05
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.09
Potential profit: $208.09
User PnL: -$8

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.25
Potential profit: $200.25
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$48

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.42
Potential profit: $154.42
User PnL: -$150

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.38
Potential profit: $141.38
User PnL: -$123

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.15
Potential profit: $136.15
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.56
Potential profit: $135.56
User PnL: -$21

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $13.19
Potential payout: $125.58
Potential profit: $112.4
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$40.81

Yes position

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $69
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $51
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $17.59
Potential payout: $112.74
Potential profit: $95.16
Multiplier: 6.41x
User PnL: -$2.41

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $106.67
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.67

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.19
Potential profit: $85.19
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.15
Potential profit: $62.15
User PnL: -$60

LOS position

LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$18

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.81
Potential profit: $46.81
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.41

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.11

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.69

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

North Korea missile test by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Taylor Swift Super Bowl LIX Parlay

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 75% 106.67 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 76% 131.58 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 21.3% 136.15 shares
Will Solana reach $100 in May?

No 93% 85.94 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 27% 85.19 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

No 83% 125.3 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Yes 30% 160 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 75% 53.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 11% 109.09 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 17.7% 112.74 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?

Up 39% 256.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34% 26.47 shares