Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.23K
- Potential profit
- $50.23K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Polymarket Trader
tvampire
0x16d4b755e9ac9568a0b597313af1e7c850e9c2c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.39K
- Realized PnL
- $2.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $8.97K
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $532.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $269.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $4.38K
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $277.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $582.63
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $482.78
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- -$17.21
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $22.78
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $57.83
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $266.42
- Potential payout
- $433.21
- Potential profit
- $166.78
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$33.58
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.16
- Potential profit
- $392.16
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $388.09
- Potential payout
- $390.63
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- User PnL
- $88.09
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $288.08
- Potential payout
- $340.52
- Potential profit
- $52.44
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.92
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $300.16
- Potential payout
- $335.37
- Potential profit
- $35.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $309.5
- Potential payout
- $326.3
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $235.39
- Potential payout
- $237.77
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.39
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.3
- Potential profit
- $227.3
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $211.6
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- User PnL
- $11.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.74
- Potential profit
- $159.74
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $99.71
- Potential payout
- $145.35
- Potential profit
- $45.64
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $102.1
- Potential payout
- $107.64
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.07
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.55
No position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.9
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.18
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.5
No position
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.33
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.83
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.86
No position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.87
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.96
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.16
No position
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.94
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 1,354.17 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.9% 1,054.01 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 36.7% 353.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 2,127.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.1% 2,271.2 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 18.8% 1,166.9 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 19.1% 574.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 1,086.49 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 1,075.27 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 0.7% 2,811.46 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 75.4% 663.37 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.3% 777.56 shares